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The Comparison between the Supply and Demand Factors’Influences on the Business Cycle in the USA:Empirical Test Based on Factor Analysis and Cross Spectrum Analysis
Author(s): 
Pages: 3-17
Year: Issue:  4
Journal: Nankai Economic Studies

Keyword:  经济周期 供给 需求 因子分析 交叉谱分析;
Abstract: 本文认为美国经济中主要存在长度为5—6年的周期波动。因子分析和交叉谱分析的结果表明,美国经济周期的波动与需求因素和供给因素的关系都非常密切,但美国5—6年经济周期的波动主要受到供给因素的引领和影响。本文的结论可以在一定程度上解释当前美国经济处于复苏乏力局面的原因,同时也意味着未来美国经济的复苏繁荣有赖于供给方面因素的切实改善。
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